Market Microstructure, step 4 of 5

PD2 Asymmetric Information

Session timeline

Briefing
Trading40 min
Debrief

The case

One equity trades between three traders. Each receives a private estimate with an error band.

Objective

Trade EQ toward its value. Assessed on profit and loss, with closing positions valued at the final value.

What it shows

  • Asymmetric information: nobody knows the value and everybody knows part of it.
  • Averaging: the price as the combination of three noisy estimates.
  • An error band as a size of doubt, which differs by trader.

Watch out for

  • Treating a tight band as a certain value.
  • Trading against a price that already holds the other two estimates.
  • An estimate that turns out wrong while the price, which combined three, was right.

Who takes part

  • Trader A, Trader B and Trader C — a third of the class each. Each receives a private estimate of EQ's value with its own error band, updated every eight minutes.

Class size

Twelve to thirty-six students, a third in each role. With fewer than twelve a role has one or two traders.

Concepts

  • Adverse selection
  • Price discovery

Roles

  • Trader A

    You are trader A. You trade EQ.

    • You receive a private estimate of its value with an error band.
    • Traders B and C receive different estimates.
    • Assessed on profit and loss, with closing positions valued at the final value.
  • Trader B

    You are trader B. You trade EQ.

    • You receive a private estimate of its value with an error band.
    • Traders A and C receive different estimates.
    • Assessed on profit and loss, with closing positions valued at the final value.
  • Trader C

    You are trader C. You trade EQ.

    • You receive a private estimate of its value with an error band.
    • Traders A and B receive different estimates.
    • Assessed on profit and loss, with closing positions valued at the final value.

Instruments

TickerNameMarketStudents can
EQEquityContinuous tradingTrade it

In the tracks