FX · Options · Futures

XR2 Currency crisis

Session timeline

Briefing
Trading40 min
Debrief

The case

As XR1, with the rate collapsing part-way. The option quotes jump with it.

Objective

Hedge the currency risk in the short option through a crisis. Graded on final wealth, from 20 at 4,500,000 to 402 at 100,000,000.

What it shows

  • What a hedge is worth when the rate does not move smoothly.
  • Option quotes that jump with the rate, so a delta hedge is wrong the moment after.
  • The same market as XR1 with a crisis in it, so the two can be compared.

Watch out for

  • A hedge sized to a calm market, left standing when the rate collapses.
  • Quotes that change faster than an order can be placed.
  • A grade that pays far more at the top than the bottom.

Who takes part

  • Type A — half the class. Starts short 2,000 calls, C290.
  • Type B — the other half. Starts short 2,000 puts, P290.
  • Both trade FUT, the exchange-rate future, and STRIP, a two-year Treasury strip. RATE is shown and cannot be traded.

Class size

Any size. Runs well straight after XR1 with the same class.

Concepts

  • Currency risk
  • Hedging

Roles

  • Type A

    You are type A. You start short 2,000 calls, C290.

    • RATE is the basket rate. It is shown and cannot be traded.
    • You trade FUT, the exchange-rate future, and STRIP.
    • The rate collapses during the session. Option quotes jump with it.
    • Assessed on final wealth.
  • Type B

    You are type B. You start short 2,000 puts, P290.

    • RATE is the basket rate. It is shown and cannot be traded.
    • You trade FUT, the exchange-rate future, and STRIP.
    • The rate collapses during the session. Option quotes jump with it.
    • Assessed on final wealth.

Instruments

TickerNameMarketStudents can
RATEBasket rate for 500 unitsContinuous tradingSee it, not trade it
STRIPTreasury strip at two yearsContinuous tradingTrade it
C290Call at 290Quoted priceTrade it
P290Put at 290Quoted priceTrade it
FUTExchange-rate futureContinuous tradingTrade it

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