Options and Volatility, step 2 of 5

OP9 Risk-neutral valuation

Session timeline

Briefing
Trading30 min
Debrief

The case

A stock, a bond, and a call and a put at 25. The option prices are set by trading.

Objective

Finish with as much wealth as possible. Assessed on final wealth.

What it shows

  • Risk-neutral valuation: pricing an option as a discounted expected payoff.
  • Two options on one stock priced against the stock and the bond.
  • A class pricing the same claim and disagreeing.

Watch out for

  • A call and a put that sit apart from the price the stock and bond imply.
  • Using the stock's probability of going up as if it were the risk-neutral one.
  • Forgetting to discount: interest is 1%, small but enough to separate two prices.

Who takes part

  • Trader — every student. Trades STOCK, BOND, C25, a call, and P25, a put, both at a strike of 25.

Class size

Ten to forty students in one role. The options have no other price source, so the class sets them.

Concepts

  • Option pricing

Roles

  • Trader

    You trade a stock, STOCK, a bond, BOND, a call, C25, and a put, P25.

    • The two options share a strike of 25.
    • Assessed on final wealth.

Instruments

TickerNameMarketStudents can
STOCKThe stockContinuous tradingTrade it
BONDZero-coupon bondContinuous tradingTrade it
C25Call at 25Continuous tradingTrade it
P25Put at 25Continuous tradingTrade it

In the tracks